We bring you the results of our last three quarterly surveys on respondents’ forecasts for the economic situation over the coming three months.

Many markets had a higher (more positive) index in November than in July, with China showing the greatest improvement. In fact, only India, newly added to AIP’s expanding list of panels and also to this tracking study, registered a higher index than China. Our Chinese and Indian panelists were particularly optimistic about the stock markets in their country, with 68% of Chinese and 78% of Indians predicting a rise. Are our panelists good economic forecasters? Back in April we discovered our respondents were not very good predictors of stock market trends, but let’s watch the markets and find out.